Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.026781 0.028866 0.030962 0.033223 0.035589 0.037991 0.040608
2025-11-30 0.022678 0.025936 0.029332 0.033123 0.037223 0.041510 0.046318
2025-12-07 0.019685 0.023582 0.027761 0.032546 0.037845 0.043503 0.049975
2025-12-14 0.017278 0.021573 0.026294 0.031820 0.038060 0.044840 0.052717
2025-12-21 0.015349 0.019915 0.025052 0.031182 0.038225 0.045993 0.055138
2025-12-28 0.014520 0.019442 0.025082 0.031918 0.039877 0.048758 0.059320
2026-01-04 0.013450 0.018595 0.024603 0.031997 0.040721 0.050563 0.062380
2026-01-11 0.012424 0.017731 0.024039 0.031919 0.041333 0.052062 0.065062
2026-01-18 0.011933 0.017487 0.024189 0.032663 0.042888 0.054638 0.068974
2026-01-25 0.011065 0.016712 0.023646 0.032530 0.043368 0.055936 0.071387
2026-02-01 0.010312 0.016041 0.023192 0.032471 0.043909 0.057284 0.073844
2026-02-08 0.009609 0.015395 0.022734 0.032377 0.044383 0.058533 0.076169
2026-02-15 0.008807 0.014617 0.022130 0.032147 0.044761 0.059764 0.078605
2026-02-22 0.008095 0.013933 0.021632 0.032047 0.045311 0.061228 0.081362
2026-03-01 0.007271 0.013035 0.020805 0.031482 0.045247 0.061922 0.083176
2026-03-08 0.006470 0.012116 0.019900 0.030772 0.044962 0.062314 0.084601
2026-03-15 0.005774 0.011298 0.019090 0.030148 0.044753 0.062775 0.086088
2026-03-22 0.005571 0.011214 0.019291 0.030867 0.046270 0.065380 0.090211
2026-03-29 0.005184 0.010818 0.019030 0.030945 0.046943 0.066925 0.093027
2026-04-05 0.004782 0.010369 0.018670 0.030869 0.047400 0.068190 0.095493
2026-04-12 0.004637 0.010327 0.018895 0.031596 0.048916 0.070799 0.099640
2026-04-19 0.004268 0.009888 0.018516 0.031466 0.049283 0.071939 0.101951
2026-04-26 0.003945 0.009505 0.018200 0.031409 0.049736 0.073183 0.104390